Category: economics
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U.S. Markets: Gold mine or a cliff?
“What should one conclude based on what we see? How does this anomaly get corrected? Would we see U.S. markets falling to match the performance of other markets or is it going to be other way round wherein all the other markets would start playing the catch up? If its the former, then we certainly…
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US markets: Is it all done and dusted with?
“While very long term view hasn’t yet turned negative, short term has certainly turned out to be shaky, especially on the Nasdaq and..”
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Currencies – Are stocks hanging by a thread?
“Currencies are one of the largest asset classes and garner a lot of attention when they move. Some currencies are directly proportionate to some asset classes, such as Aussie Dollar to stocks, Canadian Dollar to commodities. Given this correlation, it makes sense to study them going into the next year, especially when we know there’s…
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Commodities update: A deep dive!
“The way all these commodities are behaving, it has a message for the broader market and the economy, if you notice.”
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Where is America headed? Economy, Markets and beyond!
“Every economy, especially the ones that rise to the top of the ladder, goes through a long term boom-bust cycle. Such cycles last for hundreds of years before another one emerges to challenge the status quo.”
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Markets – Mean reversion, backtest and the vertical rally!
The week gone by was all about mean reversion, backtest and a V-shaped rally! But is it done? In one word – No!
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The macro and the micro
Interesting times these are. While ES and NQ are looking for some clawback, YM is looking for a bullish breakout of its inverse Head and Shoulders pattern and RTY is looking for backtest of the breakout. Rotation at its best!
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The forgotten macro – Currencies
“Last when I spoke about currencies in December (Currencies have a message for the stocks!), I had said risk on is on the horizon and risk on is what we got. What next? So here we are, taking a fresh look at some key currencies from charting perspective, starting with the mighty dollar.”
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The micro view – Chartically!
When smallcaps don’t perform with largecaps and it keeps languishing for days/weeks on a trot.. that’s a sign to be careful about.
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Macro update – Is deflation a possibility?
“Recessionary times are difficult to predict and wade through. Companies would be forced to keep prices low to stay afloat in low demand environment. While the end user would be happy to see lower prices, uncertainty about the jobs would keep them on tenterhooks to not loosen their purse strings. End result? Even lower prices.”
Macro micro trader 