
When smallcaps don’t perform with largecaps and it keeps languishing for days/weeks on a trot.. that’s a sign to be careful about.

“Recessionary times are difficult to predict and wade through. Companies would be forced to keep prices low to stay afloat in low demand environment. While the end user would be happy to see lower prices, uncertainty about the jobs would keep them on tenterhooks to not loosen their purse strings. End result? Even lower prices.”

For anyone tracking markets for more than a decade, knows for sure what happens when interest rates start rising. Recession is one of the final outcomes of the slowdown witnessed in various industries and sectors. While, manufacturing, services do see significant drop in their productivity, the final nail in the coffin is in the construction…

Inflation is not just about the demand of the goods and services being produced, but is also about the supply of those goods and services. Supply, while it is about how many of those actual products are being produced, that quantity depends on the productivity of the labor and the processes involved. While there are…
Thrilled to be back!

Three weeks ago I had this post about the long term bullishness (Did we see it wrong all the while?) with a different perspective on the market. In that post I had hoped for some clawback in the YM after a relentless rally. That clawback is here and seems to have helped getting us the…

What if the Covid rally was a bigger breakout and the crash this year was only a backtest of this breakout?

Pivot? Pause? Nope, just not yet. While markets rallied all of last 2 weeks on hopes that the Fed would oblige by getting rid of hawkish stance on the rates and inflation and may even slow down the pace of rate hikes, but what it got was a negative shock that resulted into bulls tripping…